Bank of England boss weighs in on UK economy row
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Published
The Bank of England boss has weighed in on a row over whether the UK economy is recovering from the cost of living crisis.
Andrew Bailey told the BBC that the UK economy had âturned a cornerâ.
He made the comments ahead of figures on Friday expected to confirm that the UK is no longer in recession.
The government has pressed the case that the economy has turned around, but Labour has described such views as âdelusionalâ.
The debate about the strength of the economic recovery is set to be a central battleground in the general election campaign.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has previously said that the economy had âturned a cornerâ â but many householdsâ budgets remain under pressure.
Earlier this week, Ms Reeves accused the government of âgaslightingâ Britain over the state of the economy, saying suggestions the feel-good factor is returning are âcompletely out of touch with the realities on the groundâ.
Asked if, as suggested by Labourâs shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves that suggestions of a âturnaroundâ was âgaslightingâ the British people, Mr Bailey replied: âWe set out our best judgement of what we see.â
âAll the evidence we see is that we have turned a corner from that. I donât, however, want to sort of portray it as a strong recoveryâŠthat isnât what we are seeing, but we are now seeing a recovery and we seemed to have turned a corner.â
After the Bank of England held interest rates at 5.25% for the sixth time in a row, Mr Bailey said he was âvery encouragedâ by easing price rises, but added the Bank had to see more evidence that inflation would fall to 2% and stay there before making cuts.
Official figures on Friday are expected to show the economy has grown in the first three months of 2024. The Bank has forecast 0.4% growth for this period, marking the end of recession it fell into at the end of last year.
âIt looks like it was by quite a long way the mildest recession,â said Mr Bailey.
The governor said the UK economy was now going into a âgradual growth phaseâ, â not a âstrong recoveryâ â but that there was âgood newsâ in an upturn in post-inflation household incomes.
Mr Bailey also said that there could be more interest rate cuts than expected over the next year or so, pointing to a âsomewhat lower path of interest ratesâ,being necessary to hit the Bankâs 2% inflation target.
He added he was âsomewhat puzzledâ that market interest rates, including mortgage rates, had started to rise, following developments in the US markets.
âThe dynamics of inflation in this country are different to the US,â he said.