Rebuild post-Brexit relations with EU, says Bank boss
The UK must ârebuild relationsâ with the EU âwhile respecting the decision of the British peopleâ who voted to leave in 2016, the Bank of Englandâs governor will say later.
Andrew Baileyâs Mansion House speech to investors will mark some of his strongest comments yet on Brexit, saying one of its consequences has been weaker trade.
He has previously avoided commenting on the topic because of the Bankâs independence from Westminster politics.
âAs a public official, I take no position on Brexit per se,â he will say. âBut I do have to point out consequences.â
Mr Bailey will say the changed relationship with the EU has âweighedâ on the economy.
âThe impact on trade seems to be more in goods than services⊠But it underlines why we must be alert to and welcome opportunities to rebuild relations while respecting the decision of the British people.â
Mr Bailey will also say the UK should not focus âjust on the effects of Brexitâ, warning about the âbroader fragmentation of the global economyâ.
His Brexit comments go much further than he previously has on the topic. Last November, he said the decision had âled to a reduction in the openness of the UK economyâ.
Assessing the impact of the UKâs decision to leave the EU on the economy has been tricky given the multiple economic shocks in recent years.
The Office for Budget Responsibility and other independent analysts estimate the economy is 4% smaller over the past 15 years as a result.
Goods trade, especially in food and farm exports, has been especially hit by the imposition of new trade barriers. Trade in services, such as banking, has done better than expected, however.
The government remains opposed to rejoining the EU, but Prime Minister Keir Starmer and some EU politicians have said there could be a better relationship.
Spainâs Finance Minister Carlos Cuerpo told the BBC: âWe need to be positive here and optimistic that a better deal can be actually closed on that front.â
A UK government spokesperson said: âWe are committed to resetting our relationship with our European partners⊠and improving our trade and investment relationship.â
Mr Baileyâs Mansion House address will come alongside a speech by Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who will talk about her plans to shake up the UK pension system in a bid for growth.
She wants council pension pots to be merged so they can make bigger investments to generate higher returns, a move criticised as risky by some.
âThe UK has been regulating for risk, but not regulating for growth,â she will say.
The annual event comes as the government also faces criticism from businesses for holding back growth through tax raises, which Reeves has said are necessary to âproperly fundâ public services.
âBottom lineâ
Mr Baileyâs speech will go on to address the wider UK economy and its lack of growth.
âBottom line, itâs not a good story,â he will say, describing how productivity has fallen since the 2008 economic crash and has not recovered since.
He will explain that the UK is not alone in having this problem, which he says also affects other parts of Europe, but notes that the US has âa better story to tellâ.
Mr Bailey will also echo Reevesâ concern that the UK pension system is âfragmentedâ and requires âheavy liftingâ to fix it.
Former Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has said there was âmuch to welcomeâ in Reevesâ suggested reforms, though shadow chancellor Mel Stride has added that Conservatives will be âlooking closely at the detailâ.